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Silver Will Be Worth More Than Gold, Silver Shortage This Decade
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$2,000 Gold And 10 More Surprising Predictions From Credit Suisse
Gold is negatively correlated with real Fed fund rates
You’re not going to make money betting on the consensus. So if you’re looking for contrarian investments, Credit Suisse’s Andrew Garthwaite has picked out 11 economic events that are more likely than anyone thinks.
Surprise scenarios include $2,000 gold

by year-end. Several factors support this “surprise” including:
- Gold goes up when real Fed fund rates are negative — and they are
- Excess leverage leads to money printing or default
- China and Japan haven’t started Read more…
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Americans Will Flock Into $5,000 Gold and $500 Silver
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Take a look at how many ounces of silver have been needed to buy a median-priced home in the US:
For most people, there are some surefire luxuries that signify wealth, a few pearls of conspicuous consumption that say “you’ve made it!” For me, it’s always been a second home. My grandparents owned a vacation home in Arizona and then Florida when I was a kid, and it was an annual highlight to travel there every year.
But something happened on the way to my generation’s iteration of the American dream. Of all the people I know that have second homes, only one acquired it through his own hard work and success. The rest inherited them.
With high unemployment, shaky business conditions, desperate governments, weak real estate demand, and a suspect stock market, owning a vacation home is not even on the radar these days for most Americans. Paying their existing mortgage is the primary concern, something millions of homeowners still aren’t able to do. So, how is it that I can suggest a way to buy a vacation home in this market?
Because there are two trends in motion that I believe will continue working in our favor. And it likely won’t take long for them to reach a culmination point, allowing those of us with such a goal to see it realized.
First, Read more…
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China should increase precious metals
Sungwoo Park
SEOUL – China should increase its gold and silver reserves, the Economic Information Daily reported on Monday, citing an interview with China’s central bank adviser Xia Bin.
Increasing gold reserves at the “appropriate time” is in line with the strategy of internationalizing the yuan, the report cited Xia as saying. “Related departments” should employ a “buy in the dip” strategy over a very long period of time, Xia said.

Bullion soared nearly 30 percent in 2010, advancing for the 10th year, as the dollar dropped and investors sought a store of value amid currency debasement. China is allowing greater use of its currency for cross-border transactions, seeking to reduce reliance on the dollar.
The report is “a positive factor for gold prices in the mid-and-long term,” Hwang II Doo, a senior trader at Seoul-based Korea Exchange Bank Futures Co, said on Monday. Still “it didn’t have immediate impact on prices as gold’s gain has more to do with the unrest in Egypt at the moment.”
Total gold consumption in China, the second-largest buyer, may gain 15 percent in the first-half, fueled by growing demand for alternative investments and a hedge against inflation, the China Gold Association said last week.
Imports of gold by China jumped almost five-fold in the first 10 months of last year from the entire amount shipped in 2009, the Shanghai Gold Exchange has said. Shipments were 209 metric tons compared with 45 tons for all of 2009, said exchange Chairman Shen Xiangrong.
The country increased gold reserves by 454 tons to 1,054 tons since 2003, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange said in April 2009. The metal only accounts for 1.6 percent of the nation’s reserves held by the People’s Bank of China, according to the World Gold Council. China doesn’t regularly publish gold-trade figures and rarely comments on its reserves.
Bullion for immediate delivery gained as much as 0.7 percent to $1,346.27 an ounce, and was at $1,339.25 at 12:53 pm in Seoul. The price rose 2.5 percent on Jan 28, the biggest intra-day increase since Nov 4 as escalating tensions in Egypt fanned concern that unrest may spread to other parts of the Middle East, increasing demand for an investment haven.
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Gold: Major Buy Signals!
Gold and Precious Metals
UUP (US Dollar Proxy) Chart.
US Dollar Analysis:
- The Dollar decline on soft volume over the past few days has given me a buy signal. I use our US dollar signals to play the dollar, and to coordinate your Gold and Gold Stock purchases.
- Let me be clear; the move up here in the dollar is nothing more than a dead cat bounce, so don’t play it too big. When looking at the decline in the dollar from July through November, the dollar dropped nearly 15%. The most troubling sign I see for the USD over the longer term is the distribution in the ensuing rally in the Nov- Dec time frame. The dollar is in a major bear market, and rallies in bear markets tend to be sharp, and can end long before they are “supposed to”.
- The performance of the US Dollar over the last ten years is pathetic. The dollar has lost massive purchasing power against almost every single other asset. Consider: Crude Oil is up over 250%, and the Commodity Agricultural Raw Materials Index is up 57%. Many other commodities are up over 200% against the dollar, in the same timeframe. Why has this happened?
- The answer is: Debt Accumulation. Debt is growing, so the fundamental causes of the dollar bear market are also growing. The financial crisis is not ending. It is getting worse. Read more…
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Chinese Silver Demand Surges Incredible Four Fold in Just One Year
Gold is flat and silver marginally lower despite dollar weakness this morning. Some market participants are blaming the precious metal sell off on speculation that China may take more monetary action to curb surging inflation. This is unlikely to be the reason for the sharp selloff, rather it looks like another paper driven sell off in the futures market by leveraged players on Wall Street with various motives.
The fact that silver is again in backwardation at the front end of the curve suggests that tightness in the physical bullion market continues and may even be deepening. Indeed, the massive increase in silver bullion demand from China (confirmed overnight – see below) suggests that silver’s bull market remains very much intact despite becoming overvalued in the short term towards the end of 2010.
Table Courtesy of Mitsui
Surging inflation in China, India, wider Asia and much of the world is of course positive for gold and silver as it will likely lead to an even greater appetite for the precious metals in order to protect against the ravages of inflation and the further depreciation of paper currencies. Read more…
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World’s Richest Man Enters the Silver Market
Here’s some juicy stock market RAW to kick off 2011 – Carlos Slim Helú, the world’s richest man is looking to enter the silver market in a big way.
And that big way, according to KingWorldNews, is a bid for Fresnillo, the Mexican based mining company that is poised to become the world’s biggest silver producer.
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Silver Hits A New 30- Year High
Spot silver rose to a 30-year top on base metals strength, dollar weakness reaching $30.72 . European sovereign debt crisis and uncertainty in US economic boosted the investments appeal in the precious metals as a means of wealth protection. The white metal is up 74% which is almost triple the growth recorded by the price of gold, which rose 26 percent.
The strength of silver has resulted in a wave of development around the world and a planned production increase in 2010 to 733.2 million ounces, representing increases of 3.3% compared to 2009 and 14% since 2006.
The metal has an inherent appeal due to its industrial use in electronics, cutlery and coins. In addition, supplies are limited.
“The fundamental picture for silver is much more attractive relative to gold,” said Jessica Cross of the precious metals consultancy Virtual Metals.
Finally, the chief raw material analysis of Deutsche Bank , Michael Lewis, said: “The growth potential of silver is greater than gold.”
Demand for the metal is going to the moon!
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SILVER MANIPULATION JP MORGAN
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