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$5,000 Gold Later This Decade?
Gold bullion may reach $5,000 per ounce later this decade, bolstered by rising demand from India and China and slowing production growth, according to Standard Chartered Plc.
Yan Chen, head of metals and mining for the firm, stated that “We are looking for the gold price to reach about $2,000 by 2014,” in a Bloomberg television interview. ”There’s a chance that the gold price can be as high as $5,000 by 2020,” as income growth in China and India fuel demand for the yellow metal.
Chen’s comments came in the wake of yet another new all-time record high for gold prices, which this morning reached $1,603.80 per ounce. Gold has been supported of late by the ongoing sovereign debt crisis in Europe, the uncertainty over the debt ceiling in the United States, and the prospects of a third round of quantitative easing (QE3) by the Federal Reserve.
The Standard Chartered strategist went on to say that “The gold market will be in deficit in the next couple of years. The central banks are now back buying gold massively, turning from net seller of gold into net buyer.”
Poor Man’s Gold is Breaking Out — Sell Your House and Buy Silver?
Investors have pushed silver above the recent channel high at around $39 or so per ounce and I fully expect a retest of $50 if any more talk is given about QE3 — Silver rises because of the rising digital money supply, not from speculation. Owning cash is speculative whereas owning metals is conservative or a safe haven at current prices.
Many people will tell you that silver and gold are in a bubble but the fact is that commodities in general are one of the only asset classes that work here because the consolidated banking system is holding our economy hostage and Bernanke is solely focused on saving the banks. Right now, shorting European banks and going long silver and gold looks to be about as good of a “trade” as possible — investors are essentially betting that Europe will face massive credit problems because of the obvious insolvency of Greece, Italy, Portugal, Spain, and Ireland.
The next shoe to drop is the US… We are facing the exact same issues as Read more…
Silver shines bright, to climb steadily in second half
SINGAPORE/MUMBAI: Silver prices, deeply dented but unbroken by a rout in May, will climb steadily through the second half of the year as investors buy the metal as an alternative to expensive gold.
Despite a swoon following a 60 percent rally to a peak in April, silver continues to lead the precious metals complex with a gain of 24 percent so far this year, outstripping gold’s rise of 11 percent, and retains allure for inflation-wary investors.
Silver , notorious for its price volatility, stung many investors with a drop of 33 percent over six sessions in early May from a record of $49.51 an ounce on April 28.
Silver prices have held above $32 since mid-May, and are set to move higher in Read more…
Gold hits record high near $1,580 an ounce
The price of gold reached $1,578.73 an ounce at 1130 GMT on the London Bullion Market (AFP/File, Sebastian Derungs)LONDON — The price of gold surged to a record close to $1,580 an ounce here on Wednesday, as investors switched into the metal for safety from the eurozone debt crisis, traders said.
The price of gold reached $1,578.72 an ounce by mid-day on the London Bullion Market, beating the previous record of $1,577.57 set on May 1. It later stood at $1,573 an ounce in afternoon London trade.
“Gold hit a new all-time high today as investors continue to fret over the European sovereign debt situation,” said analyst Ian O’Sullivan at trading firm Spread Co, noting that the metal has risen for eight days in a row..
“With Italy, Spain, Ireland and Portugal worries intensifying and now the Fed minutes suggesting some members were thinking about the need for additional easing, investors have just hit the panic buy buttons this week.
“We think that gold ma Read more…
Food prices continue to skyrocket, even when gas prices fall
Food prices are skyrocketing. Part of the reason why is because, as the world’s population rises, so too has food consumption.
Another reason, at least here in the United States, is because the dollar has slipped in value in recent months.
But one of the primary reasons why prices are climbing so dramatically is because fuel prices have shot up in the past year. Yet even as gas and diesel prices have begun to fall recently, food costs haven’t.
According to fuel price-tracking Web site Gasbuddy.com, prices have slipped nearly 20 cents in the past month, or just over 5 percent. But prices for commodities and some staples like coffee, bacon, fruits, meat, pastas and other items have shot up 40 percent in the past year. Cotton, too, has risen dramatically, making clothing more expensive.
As an example, the price of grapes has climbed 30 percent, while cabbage has risen 17 percent and orange juice 5 percent.
And while the government’s official inflation rate of 3.6 percent (annualize) doesn’t seem serious, that figure is masking the true cost of a number of commodities Americans traditionally buy.
For example, Read more…
Paper Markets Are A Joke: Prepare for Bullion Prices to Go Supernova
“I think that the prices will continue higher. I mean the amount of money printing is unbelievable. I just think you have to take that initial stand in terms of buying it. I use the James Turk analogy: just keep dollar averaging. We have gone up eleven years in a row, this year it looks like it will be no exception; I would certainly think next year will be no exception. If we ever have QE3 announced, I think gold and silver will just go absolutely bonkers here. And so I just think you have got to step in there and own it; we’ve had these fears all the way along. You know, $400, and $500 and $700 and $800 dollar gold, everyone was afraid it was a one-time thing. I don’t think it is a one-time thing, I think it is Read more…
Buy silver if price drops: Jim Rogers
Global commodities guru Jim Rogers says that Silver remains the hottest commodity these days. Despite the current downtrend in commodities in the recent weeks, the bull market in the sector is still intact, Rogers said.
In an interview to IndexUniverse.com, Rogers who is regarded as the most authentic voice on commodities investing in the world said that the downtrend in commodities is nothing unusual.
“This is the way the world works. If you look at oil, for instance, it has gone down over 50% three or four different times since 1998. That’s what markets do, and they will Read more…
Gold Should Break $1,600, Silver Near $50 by Year End –GFMS’ Newman
Gold should trade to just over $1,600 an ounce by the end of 2011 and silver should be flirting with $50 an ounce as governments will need to maintain a loose monetary policy despite the phasing out of stimulus packages in the U.S., according to the director of a major research firm.
Philip Newman, research director of GFMS, said in an interview on the sidelines of the International Precious Metals Institute’s Precious Metals Conference here there may be too much focus in the markets on the second quantitative easing versus a possible third program.
“I think irrespective if there is no QE3 that comes into the market, the U.S. governments and all other governments frankly, in a sense, still have to maintain fairly loose monetary policy given how slow or how stubborn the rise in GDP growth has been and continues to be,” Newman said.
He said that even though at times there might be a healthy increase in GDP growth, the underlying economy still has unemployment rates that are still stubbornly high.
“So, if you have that background then, the outlook for inflation remains fairly Read more…
NIA Releases U.S. Economic and Inflation Update
The official U.S. unemployment rate rose during the month of May to 9.1%, up from 9% in April, with only 54,000 non-farm jobs being created for the month. The real unemployment rate including short and long-term discouraged workers is now 22.3%. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) used the birth/death model to produce a positive monthly bias during the month of May of 206,000 jobs, up from 175,000 in April, 117,000 in March, and 112,000 in February. Without the birth/death model, 152,000 jobs were lost during the month of May.
By utilizing the birth/death model, the BLS is assuming that during the month of May, the number of new jobs created by start-up businesses were 206,000 greater than the number of jobs lost from companies going out of business. NIA finds this assumption to be Read more…
Gold Price Nears $1,550, Time for a Gold Standard?
GOLD PRICE NEWS – The gold price, at $1,542.50 per ounce, traded near unchanged Monday morning despite modest strength in the U.S. dollar. While gold prices were flat, silver advanced higher by 1.5% to $36.79 per ounce. Global equity prices have been under pressure over the past month with the S&P 500 falling for five consecutive weeks. Weak data points in housing, manufacturing, and labor have all combined to heighten worries over the prospect of a double-dip recession. Precious metals, notably gold, have benefited from their safe haven qualities as investors seek to lower their risk profiles.
The strong performance of the gold price in recent years has led to a growing collection of calls for the United States to return to a gold standard. Steve Forbes, the billionaire CEO of Forbes Inc., wrote a piece in Forbes Magazine urging candidates for the 2012 U.S. presidential election to consider returning to some form of gold standard to support the value of the U.S. dollar.
Forbes began the article by stating that “Monetary policy is one of Read more…
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