Do you remember what happened the last time the U.S. dollar went on a great run like this?
As you can see from the chart below, it was in mid-2008, and what followed was the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression… Full Article Here
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Posts Tagged ‘fiat’
The Last, Great Run For The U.S. Dollar, The Death Of The Euro And 74 Trillion In Currency Derivatives At Risk
March 12, 2015
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Are we on the verge of an unprecedented global currency crisis? On Tuesday, the euro briefly fell below $1.07 for the first time in almost a dozen years. And the U.S. dollar continues to surge against almost every other major global currency. The U.S. dollar index has now risen an astounding 23 percent in just the last eight months. That is the fastest pace that the U.S. dollar has risen since 1981. You might be tempted to think that a stronger U.S. dollar is good news, but it isn’t. A strong U.S. dollar hurts U.S. exports, thus harming our economy. In addition, a weak U.S. dollar has fueled tremendous expansion in emerging markets around the planet over the past decade or so. When the dollar becomes a lot stronger, it becomes much more difficult for those countries to borrow more money and repay old debts. In other words, the emerging market “boom” is about to become a bust. Not only that, it is important to keep in mind that global financial institutions bet a tremendous amount of money on currency movements. According to the Bank for International Settlements, 74 trillion dollars in derivatives are tied to the value of the U.S. dollar, the value of the euro and the value of other global currencies. When currency rates start flying around all over the place, you can rest assured that someone out there is losing an enormous amount of money. If this derivatives bubble ends up imploding, there won’t be enough money in the entire world to bail everyone out.
Why Are Economists Allergic To Gold?
February 4, 2012
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As the old saying goes, the more things change, the more they stay the same.
Some 32 years ago, Ronald Reagan ran for U.S. President, in part, on a promise to appoint a “gold commission” to study the issue of whether and how the United States should return to some variation of the gold standard.
The nation had just come through a couple of tough decades during which, at times, it seemed as if the whole fabric of American society was being ripped apart. Devastating inflation and a lagging economy only made worse the social and emotional turmoil created by changing mores and standards surrounding civil rights, gender roles and military intervention. President Richard Nixon’s shocking act of severing the U.S. dollar’s ties to gold had failed to bring economic prosperity to the nation, and the Republican Party was feeling a bit of buyers’ remorse. The idea of a return to a gold-based monetary system gained steam.
A recent New York Times article describes the pre-election environment:
The 1980 Republican platformdenounced “the severing of the dollar’s link with real commodities in the 1960s and 1970s,” which it blamed for inflation. “One of the most urgent tasks in the period ahead will be the Read more…
Categories: GOLD
fiat, gold, gold standard, inflation
If Central Banks Believe in Paper Money Why Are They Loading Up On Gold?
July 8, 2011
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I’ve been warning for years that an inflationary storm was coming. I’ve recently tailored my forecast to allow for a resurgence in deflation based on QE 2 ending and the economy diving, but my long-term forecast remains the same: inflation WILL be exploding in the years to come.
Indeed, even the biggest proponents of paper money (central banks) have begun to realize that their grand experiment is coming to an end. Central banks officially became net buyers of Gold last year. And we now find that they have acquired the most Gold in over a decade.
The Financial Times reports:
Central banks have pulled 635 tonnes of gold from the Bank for International Settlements in the past year, the largest withdrawal in more than a decade.
The move, disclosed in the BIS’s annual report, marks a sharp reversal from the previous year, when central banks added to deposits of gold at the Read more…
Categories: Banks, GOLD
central bank, Federal Reserve, fiat, gold, hyperinflation, inflation, QE2, QE3, stock market
What You Need to Know About the International Monetary Fund
May 17, 2011
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The International Monetary Fund is in the news again for scandals of a more personal and dubious type—the arrest of fund chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn over allegations of sexual assault. This comes at a time when the IMF can least afford to be embroiled in political scandals—the global recovery is tenable at best, and the combination of rising prices, declining credit, and falling faith in fiat currencies is becoming a cocktail for disaster. But this does give us a great opportunity to help people understand what the IMF does, who pays for it, and how it works.
What the Heck is it?
Most people in the world couldn’t describe what the IMF does; yet if your country is one of the 187 member countries, you have paid for it. ABC World News says this:
The Fund has deposits from member countries – commonly called “quotas” – totaling some $340 billion, with additional commitments for about $600 billion from member governments should the funds be needed.
Quota requirements are determined by the size of the member country’s economy. So the United States, with a $14 trillion GDP, is the biggest contributor with about 18 percent of the quotas.
And what do they do with all that fiat currency? To answer that, we need a little history lesson.
The IMF was founded after World War II during the beginning of the Bretton Woods system. In the Bretton Woods system, exchange rates were Read more…
Categories: IMF
bailout, Bretton Woods system, fiat, global economy, gold, gold standard, Greece, IMF, International Monetary Fund
Where is the Global Economy Headed? The Experts Weigh In
May 4, 2011
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I’m writing today after spending the last three days in Boca Raton, Florida, attending The Next Few Years: A Casey Research Summit. If you’re not already familiar, the purpose of this summit was to bring together many of the world’s top economic and investing minds to share with us where they believe we’re headed in the months and years ahead.
The cast of speakers was impressive, to say the least. They brought a variety of view points, an almost overwhelming amount of data and analysis, and a perspective on what the current world means for investors that would be hard to build on. Yet, with all this variety of thought and perspective, one central theme seemed to emerge.
If you’re able to see the annihilation of your currency coming down the pike, and you take the right steps to protect your wealth, you can come out on the other side largely unscathed. Given the right investment strategy, you may even be able to grow your wealth significantly during this time.
While I knew this on some level coming into this event – I’ve been reading Casey Research’s work for just a few months now, and this was the first of their events I’ve attended – I was given pause by Casey CEO Olivier Garret’s welcoming remarks.
“While no one can predict the future with complete certainty,” he said, “it should give you comfort to know that the faculty for this summit have in common that they correctly anticipated the trends now dominating the global landscape.”
When you bring together 35 experts who each correctly predicted what’s happened in recent years – while the mainstream media Read more…
Categories: Coming Events, Economy, world
Dollar, economy, Federal Reserve, fiat, gasoline, global economy, gold, Mike Maloney, Oil, QE2, silver, the Greater Depression, world events
Chinese Know Real Value
April 27, 2011
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The International Monetary Fund reported without fanfare recently its projection that the candidate who wins the 2012 U.S. presidential election will be the last U.S. President to lead the world’s richest super power.
The IMF prediction is based on its calculation that within the next five years China will surpass the United States as the world’s largest economy.
The IMF forecast differs from that of most traditional forecasts, which put the date China’s economy outstrips the U.S. at least a decade or two into the future. However, those traditional forecasters are looking at value as calculated in currency—and as we at WealthCycles.com have reiterated many times, currency lies.
“In addition to comparing the two countries based on exchange rates, the IMF analysis also looked to the true, Read more…
The Deadly Effect of Fiat Currency
April 7, 2011
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Many of the world’s woes can be attributed to our global fiat currency system—price inflation, food shortages, political instability, and speculative booms and busts. But perhaps the most devastating and horrible of the consequences of our fiat currency system is the terrible and unceasing prevalence of war. Today, we wince as we watch the U.S. enter into a third current foreign conflict, under the guise of a multi-national, humanitarian Libyan intervention. Yet, with the amount of excess currency flooding the global economy and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s seemingly limitless willingness to create more, history tells us it is practically inevitable that the result would be more war.
It is no coincidence that, even in ancient societies, the invention of fiat currency—currency Read more…
Categories: Fiat
currency, Federal Reserve, fiat, gold, government, inflation, Libya, silver
The Rule of Gold after the Financial Collapse
March 15, 2011
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“You can own silver and gold but never any fiat currency issued by someone else”
Peter Cajander
 In a secular world, the operative “Golden Rule” is “He Who Has the Gold Makes the Rules”. The condition of the global financial banking system is untenable. The aggregate amount of debt worldwide is anyone’s guess. The introduction of derivatives and counter claims pushes the chain of obligations into the unknown. All that is left is for central banks to create mountains of uninterrupted counterfeit money to roll over and delay the inevitable. The IMF chart of World Currency Reserve is a skyrocket line to oblivion. It does not reflect a healthy stockpile of treasure, but certainly manifests a new debt machine running to infinity. The Bullion Vault explains this reality in the following manner.
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Categories: currency, GOLD, Precious Metals
bonds, central bank, China, economy, EURO, Federal Reserve, fiat, Fort Knox, France, Germany, gold, IMF, International Monetary Fund, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, precious metals, Switzerland, United States, US Dollar, World Currency Reserve, World Gold Council
Richard Lehmann: China May Corner Gold Market
March 12, 2011
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China has likely begun a campaign to convert its dollars to gold that could end up with the nation cornering the gold market, says Richard Lehmann, editor of the Forbes/Lehmann Income Security Investor newsletter.
China is alarmed about potential weakness for the dollar, he says in an interview with Steve Forbes.
So “I’m concerned that basically China is probably already on a program to diversify the dollar into gold. I don’t think they want any other fiat currencies or want to minimize that amount.”
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If China buys enough gold, at some point it can simply dictate the price, Lehmann says. And it has the means to do so, given that Chinese currency reserves total almost $3 trillion, and the world’s gold supply is now worth about $5 trillion, he says.
So China could “in one stroke, basically take control of the gold market and tie the dollar to gold so that effectively, if every six months the dollar deteriorates 5 percent, they can just upgrade the stated price at which they wanted to buy gold and thereby upgrade and up-value their gold reserves, but also keep the dollar in check.”
With plenty of other investors buying gold too, many experts expect it to continue rising. Richard Russell, author of the Dow Theory newsletter, says in a commentary obtained by King World News that the precious metal may reach $6,000 an ounce.
Categories: China, GOLD
China, fiat, gold, gold reserves, precious metals, silver, US Dollar
Gold is to China as paper currency is to US
January 25, 2011
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Bill Bonner
We’d still like to see a deep decline in the gold price. Too many people are getting onto gold. Most of them have no idea of what they are doing. Like readers of MONEY magazine, they’re buying the yellow metal as a speculation. Most likely they’re going to lose money. Almost everyone who speculates on gold loses money. Don’t ask us why. It’s just one of those Iron Laws of investing.
Gold goes up for 10 years straight. Speculators notice. They jump on board. And then the train runs off the tracks.
That’s just the way it works.
Besides, remember that this Great Correction is not over yet…not by a long shot. It has barely begun to correct the excesses of the Bubble Era. A quarter of all homeowners are said to be underwater on their mortgages – that still needs to be sorted out. And the whole financial industry – with the collusion of the Fed – is sitting on trillions of dollars’ worth of mortgage backed securities, pretending that they are good credits.
There are still major bankruptcies ahead…and deflation of assets prices. And in all the sturm and drang of it, the price of gold could go down too.
But if you’re acquiring gold, you have some powerful competition. As nations become rich and powerful, they accumulate gold. Those that are getting weak and poor give it up. Here’s The Financial Times with the latest news: Read more…
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